Factcheck: The A&E waiting game

6 January 2015

"A&E waiting is worst for a decade".

BBC News, 6 January 2015

This is right: figures published this morning showed that in the last three months of 2014, less than 93% of attendances were seen within four hours. That's the lowest for any three-month period since 2004.

Since 2010 the NHS in England has had a target that 95% of patients be seen within four hours at A&E. In practice that means from the time they arrive to the time they are either admitted for treatment, transferred elsewhere or discharged.

a_e_waiting_time_targets_in_england

But both Labour and the Conservatives took to Twitter with a different side to the story—neither of which was particularly enlightening. Here is Labour:

Twitter A&E claim

Meanwhile Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt took a different tack (and similarly in several other tweets):

Hunt claim

Both claims are right, and neither is meaningful. The number of people attending A&E in England in 2014 was at record levels, as was the number seen within four hours. As was the number seen in over four hours.

a_e_attendances_in_england

People who are admitted for treatment spend on average three and three quarter hours in A&E (median), while people who aren't spend just under two hours.

This is only a broad picture, and the King's Fund has analysed some of the drivers of trends in attendances and waiting. Even so, claims about 'record' levels aren't always that useful, when viewed in context.

Full Fact fights bad information

Bad information ruins lives. It promotes hate, damages people’s health, and hurts democracy. You deserve better.